Romania U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
ROU
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
HUN
1 - 2
ROU
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POR
1 - 1
ROU
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2001 |
ITA
4 - 1
AUT
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
ITA
5 - 0
SVN
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 2
GEO
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
ROU
79%
14%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 3
ITA
15%
23%
62%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |