Rugenbergen vs Victoria Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
61.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
18º
16º
49
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 3
RUG
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
RUG
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 1
RUG
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 3
ETH
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
RUG
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
VHG
1 - 1
ETH
80%
11%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 1
VHG
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VHG
2 - 2
DAS
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
THA
3 - 0
VHG
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VHG
4 - 0
WIL
73%
14%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |