Rugenbergen vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
18º
16º
56
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RUG
3 - 2
VHG
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 3
RUG
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
RUG
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 1
RUG
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 3
ETH
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 4
WAN
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
PAL
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
SAS
9%
14%
78%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |