Rugenbergen vs Niendorfer TSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
67.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
12º
18º
16º
62
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
RUG
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 4
DAS
7%
15%
79%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 3
RUG
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 2
THA
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
RUG
74%
14%
11%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Niendorfer TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 2
THA
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
DAS
1 - 1
NIE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
17%
18%
65%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
ATB
88%
9%
4%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 1
NIE
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |