Rugenbergen vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
RUG
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RUG
2 - 3
BER
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GER
1 - 2
RUG
62%
20%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
RUG
0 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RUG
2 - 2
MEI
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ELM
0 - 0
BUC
47%
23%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CUR
0 - 4
ELM
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ELM
3 - 0
NIE
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 3
ELM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ELM
1 - 2
HAL
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |