Rugenbergen vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GER
1 - 2
RUG
62%
20%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
RUG
0 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RUG
2 - 2
MEI
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 2
RUG
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 1
CUR
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
SVL
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CUR
4 - 1
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
NIE
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BER
1 - 3
EIN
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
BER
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |