Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
WAN
3 - 1
RUG
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
OSD
3 - 0
RUG
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RUG
3 - 1
PIN
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SUD
2 - 1
RUG
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CUR
5 - 1
RUG
30%
23%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 5
BUC
46%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAS
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WED
0 - 1
BAR
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
CUR
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |