Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
RUG
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
RUG
1 - 0
BLA
86%
9%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 1
RUG
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
RUG
1 - 1
HAL
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RUG
2 - 3
GER
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
DAS
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
ELM
2 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 4
HAL
50%
24%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
0 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |