Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
RUG
3 - 1
HAL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
RUG
42%
25%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
RUG
0 - 1
BER
24%
21%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
OST
1 - 5
RUG
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 3
EIN
32%
24%
43%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MEI
2 - 3
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
GER
5 - 2
BAR
60%
20%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
EIN
23%
25%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
OST
1 - 1
BAR
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |