UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-4
Rudar Velenje vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
HAL
2 - 2
RUD
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
RUD
0 - 0
HAL
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
FCK
0 - 2
RUD
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
RUD
4 - 3
NKP
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 0
RUD
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
RBS
1 - 0
SCA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
AUS
2 - 1
SCA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1999 |
SCA
0 - 1
LAS
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
SCA
0 - 3
TIR
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 0
SCA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |