Rudar Velenje vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
16º
14º
11
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KRK
3 - 0
RUD
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
BIL
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 1
RUD
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
RUD
37%
22%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 0
DRA
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
BRI
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 0
TOL
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
GOR
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 3
TOL
20%
21%
60%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |