Rudar Velenje vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
15º
8º
34
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEK
4 - 1
RUD
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 5
NKN
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 6
RUD
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 2
TRI
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BIL
2 - 2
RUD
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 1
BIL
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
TOL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
TOL
39%
24%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
TOL
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
5 - 2
TAS
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |