Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 0
RÑU
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 7
LIB
21%
26%
52%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
RÑU
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CCP
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
32%
25%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
76%
17%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |