Rubio Ñu vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |