Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+342%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
7º
5º
27
2º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 59 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 57 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 56 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 47 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 46 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 38 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 36 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 20 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
17º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubin Yalta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 2
RUB
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RUB
0 - 2
SKC
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKP
0 - 0
RUB
78%
14%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RUB
0 - 2
DIN
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
RUB
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
NAL
0 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
NAL
26%
27%
48%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAL
3 - 0
DMA
49%
27%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NCH
3 - 2
NAL
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAL
1 - 2
LEG
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |