Rubin Kazán vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rubin Kazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
FCR
0 - 1
FCR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCR
0 - 0
SAT
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
LOK
1 - 1
FCR
70%
20%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
FCR
3 - 1
LOK
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
SAT
1 - 1
FCR
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 1
DIN
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 3
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
CHE
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |