Würges vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 1
URB
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 0
FRA
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
3 - 1
WUR
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 0
ROT
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 7
WUR
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SWM
1 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 4
WAL
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 3
HUN
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
URB
2 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |