Würges vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 1
WUR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 1
HUN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
WOR
0 - 3
WUR
24%
26%
50%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 1
FRA
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VIK
0 - 0
WUR
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KIC
2 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
URB
4 - 1
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWM
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FSV
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |