Würges vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
SWM
2 - 1
WUR
38%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 2
WAL
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KIC
3 - 0
WUR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
EIN
1 - 3
WUR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
WUR
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
HUN
2 - 4
VEL
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 4
SWM
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 4
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
2 - 1
VEL
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
4 - 0
VEL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |