Würges vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 3
BUC
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 0
WUR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 0
HUN
57%
22%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ESC
0 - 0
WUR
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
2 - 0
EIN
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 2
VEL
56%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VEL
5 - 1
BUC
55%
22%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FUL
0 - 0
VEL
52%
25%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 4
WAL
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
FER
0 - 1
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |