Würges vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1998 |
LOH
4 - 1
WUR
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
WUR
5 - 4
FVS
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
SGH
4 - 1
WUR
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
WUR
1 - 0
FCH
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
SVR
6 - 3
WUR
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
ERZ
2 - 2
VEL
52%
24%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 0
VEL
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 2
FRA
56%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
WAL
3 - 1
VEL
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 0
FVB
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |