Würges vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
WUR
0 - 1
OSN
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 69 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
OSC
0 - 2
WUR
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
WUR
2 - 0
FCO
88%
9%
3%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
F95
0 - 1
DAR
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
WAT
1 - 0
F95
53%
22%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
F95
4 - 1
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
MEP
0 - 2
F95
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
F95
6 - 2
FCR
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | +1 |