Würges vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FUL
3 - 0
WUR
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
WUR
4 - 3
SWM
60%
19%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
WUR
0 - 1
FSV
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
WUR
37%
24%
40%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ESC
2 - 1
WUR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
FER
2 - 3
FSV
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
FER
4 - 0
ESC
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
SVB
0 - 1
FER
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FER
0 - 4
WAL
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
VIK
2 - 0
FER
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |