Las Rozas vs Alcorcón B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
3º
26
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
76.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRJ
0 - 1
LRZ
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LRZ
2 - 1
FUE
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LRZ
1 - 0
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TRC
0 - 1
LRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LEG
4 - 1
LRZ
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 4
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
LEG
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 1
ALC
25%
25%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |