Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Binche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
9º
19
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 49 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 42 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 29 |
6º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FYN
1 - 0
SGI
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
SGI
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WAA
1 - 2
SGI
92%
6%
2%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIE
0 - 1
SGI
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SGI
4 - 4
OLY
26%
21%
54%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 2
BIN
27%
22%
51%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BER
3 - 5
BIN
28%
23%
48%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 1
ROC
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOU
5 - 2
BIN
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
REB
1 - 6
BIN
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |