Hutoise vs La Calamine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+212%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
12º
18º
17º
10
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 71 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 59 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 55 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 51 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 18 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
92.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hutoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 3
RUH
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
0 - 3
ACR
8%
12%
81%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAL
0 - 0
RUH
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
1 - 1
KAS
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
2 - 4
BED
10%
13%
77%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACR
0 - 2
LAC
54%
21%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 3
GAN
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LAC
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 1
EYN
63%
20%
18%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 6
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |