Hutoise vs La Calamine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3025%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
15º
13º
31
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hutoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 3
RUH
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
0 - 3
ACR
8%
12%
81%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAL
0 - 0
RUH
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
1 - 1
KAS
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
2 - 4
BED
10%
13%
77%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
La Calamine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACR
0 - 2
LAC
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 3
GAN
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LAC
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 1
EYN
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LAC
1 - 6
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |