Royal Pari vs Vaca Díez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
14º
12º
32
11º
15º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 2
ROY
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ROY
2 - 2
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
BLO
1 - 1
ROY
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ROY
1 - 1
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
ROY
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
VAC
4 - 3
BOL
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VAC
3 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 1
VAC
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
VAC
0 - 1
DRT
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 2
VAC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |