Royal Pari vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
15º
22
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
ROY
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ROY
1 - 0
ABB
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ROY
0 - 0
UDV
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DGV
3 - 0
ROY
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ROY
3 - 3
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 3
BOL
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DGV
4 - 0
SAC
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 4
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 0
ABB
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |