Copa Simón Bolívar Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Royal Pari vs Deportivo Kala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BER
2 - 2
ROY
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
1 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
11 - 1
BEN
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ROY
3 - 0
SLB
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VAC
0 - 6
ROY
13%
24%
63%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Kala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
DKB
3 - 0
QVM
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
QVM
3 - 1
DKB
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
DKB
2 - 7
RAM
16%
21%
64%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DKB
2 - 3
TIQ
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
HAP
2 - 3
DKB
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |