Royal Eagles vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
PRE
3 - 2
EAG
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EAG
3 - 1
RIB
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 1
EAG
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
EAG
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
EAG
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 1
COS
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MIL
0 - 2
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 2
TSS
54%
22%
23%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
STE
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |