FC Rouen 1899 vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
16º
11º
28
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 52 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 48 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
NÎM
2 - 2
FCR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 2
ORL
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
FCR
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 2
ASN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 1
FCR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
NÎM
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
AUB
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
TRO
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |