Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
FC Rouen 1899 vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
FCR
3 - 3
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
NÎM
6 - 1
FCR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
FCR
5 - 0
ANG
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1969 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCR
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
GIR
1 - 1
FCR
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
CHA
1 - 0
OOS
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
UNI
2 - 0
CHA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRU
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1969 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCR
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
SDL
2 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |