FC Rouen 1899 vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
16º
14º
11
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
7 | 55 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 35.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 1
FCR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RED
2 - 1
FCR
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 1
ASB
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FCR
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 5
DIJ
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPI
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 0
THL
80%
13%
8%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
4 - 0
EXC
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
ASN
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
ASN
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |