Rotor Volgograd vs Forte Taganrog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
3º
3º
45
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotor Volgograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MAS
1 - 1
ROT
10%
19%
71%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 0
DYS
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TEK
1 - 3
ROT
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ROT
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forte Taganrog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
FCR
3 - 2
FOT
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
KRA
2 - 1
FOT
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 4
FOT
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FOT
1 - 0
DMA
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
ANZ
2 - 2
FOT
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |