Rotor Volgograd vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
1º
1º
72
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
64 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 10 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
72 | 9 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 3 |
5º
|
87.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 1 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotor Volgograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FOT
1 - 2
ROT
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 0
BIO
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOT
0 - 0
ROT
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
ROT
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ROT
4 - 0
SKA
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 1
FKK
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
LEG
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DMA
0 - 3
CHE
9%
18%
73%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
ALA
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 17 | 36 | 0 |