Röthis vs Lauterach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
16º
15º
4
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 69 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 63 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 53 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 52 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 41 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
65% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Röthis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
REI
2 - 0
ROT
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
2 - 2
KUC
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
2 - 0
ROT
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 3
SCR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 0
ROT
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lauterach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 1
KIT
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IMS
3 - 0
LAU
89%
7%
3%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 3
PIN
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 0
WAL
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REI
5 - 0
LAU
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |