Rothes vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+121%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
18º
17º
9
17º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 68 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 61 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 58 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 56 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 54 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 42 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 26 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
|
17º
|
10 | 18 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 14 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
7 - 1
ROT
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 4
CLA
29%
22%
50%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FRA
8 - 0
ROT
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 3
BUC
4%
10%
86%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
STR
0 - 4
INV
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STR
1 - 4
BAN
6%
14%
80%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STR
0 - 6
SJU
19%
18%
63%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NAI
3 - 3
STR
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CLA
2 - 0
STR
86%
9%
5%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |