Rothes vs Nairn County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
60.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
18º
17º
29
10º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 68 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 61 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 58 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 56 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 54 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 42 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 26 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
|
17º
|
10 | 18 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 14 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROT
90%
8%
3%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 7
BRO
4%
9%
87%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ROT
3 - 2
TUR
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 6
STR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
7 - 1
ROT
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NAI
1 - 4
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 2
CLA
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 1
NAI
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NAI
3 - 0
WIC
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 1
NAI
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |