Rothes vs Nairn County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
16º
10º
43
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
9 - 0
STR
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 2
WIC
82%
12%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
ROT
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INV
2 - 1
NAI
53%
21%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 2
NAI
17%
19%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 0
BRE
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
NAI
7%
13%
81%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 0
LOS
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |