Rothes vs Lossiemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
16º
11º
29
13º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 72 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 2
BRE
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 0
WIC
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 2
ROT
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 2
BAN
26%
20%
54%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 1
BRO
7%
13%
81%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lossiemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 4
NAI
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 1
LOS
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 1
BRO
3%
8%
90%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 1
LOS
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 2
FOR
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |