Rotherham United vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 0
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
ROT
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
ROT
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HUL
1 - 1
ROT
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
YOR
3 - 1
OXF
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
YOR
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
YOR
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 3
WYC
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
YOR
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |