Rotherham United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
4 - 1
GIL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
COV
0 - 3
ROT
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 0
CUM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
STE
0 - 3
ROT
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
ROT
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 4
SCU
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 1
EXE
60%
21%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 2
ROC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
ROC
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |