Rotherham United vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 2
SWI
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROT
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 0
ROT
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |