EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-3
Rotherham United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
5 - 1
POS
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SWI
1 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
MID
2 - 1
ROT
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
CHE
3 - 0
ROT
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 0
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
MID
2 - 0
BBU
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
MID
2 - 1
ROT
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
MID
2 - 1
COV
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
MID
0 - 0
SOU
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |