Rotherham United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
4 - 2
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
GUL
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
PLY
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
CRE
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
SOU
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |