Rotherham United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 0
MID
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SHW
0 - 1
ROT
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 1
BRE
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
ROT
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 0
ROT
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
QPR
2 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
HUR
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 1
DER
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
BBU
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 3
DER
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |