Rotherham United vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
PNE
4 - 1
ROT
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
SHE
5 - 0
ROT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 2
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 3
WIG
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
REA
0 - 0
ROT
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
POS
1 - 2
COL
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
WYC
1 - 2
COL
43%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 0
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
COL
2 - 2
QPR
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 1
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |