Rotherham United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
REA
1 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 1
STO
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 0
BUR
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
QPR
1 - 1
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
WAL
3 - 2
ROT
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 1
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
HUR
0 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
3 - 1
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUT
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |