EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-3
Rotherham United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
ROT
3 - 1
HUL
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
NOT
5 - 2
ROT
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ROT
2 - 2
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
ROT
3 - 0
DON
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
GUL
1 - 2
ROT
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
CHE
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
CHE
1 - 1
BPO
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
CHE
1 - 0
BRI
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOR
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHE
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |