Rotherham United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 0
REA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BRA
4 - 2
ROT
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
ROT
2 - 1
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SHW
1 - 2
ROT
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
ROT
0 - 0
PNE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
CUM
0 - 2
ROC
33%
29%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CUM
0 - 2
EXE
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
DAR
2 - 0
CUM
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
CUM
0 - 0
BRO
55%
26%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
LIN
0 - 1
CUM
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |